VIAC CC Recovering ….slowly becoming profitable

Patience with the VIAC CC is starting to pay off. On April 1 when we established the CC and bought the stock at $45.12 we thought VIAC had hit bottom….but the stock continued to decline (blue line showing profit/loss on the stock). Despite the drop in the stock we resisted the temptation to roll the May 21 $45 Call down. As the stock recovers the short option has remained profitable. Had we rolled down we would have offset some of the gain from the stock recovery. Plans are to keep the position and roll the calls as we approach 21 days to expiry.

The position has become profitable….we can almost buy a case of beer!

Covered Call versus Covered Call + Bull Put Spread

The charts below show two investment strategies around Covered Calls. We had a similar outlook on both stocks when the positions were originally set up (bullish long term). Both stocks pay a good dividend.

The top example is Abbott (ABT) and the bottom one is Lincoln Financial (LNC). With ABT we established a covered call and added bull put spreads (BuPS) over time. With LNC we only used covered calls. In both scenarios we rolled the options. ABT allowing weekly rolls and LNC monthly. Key to understanding the impact of adding the BUPS is tracking the return on the options (red line).

By adding BuPS to the Abbott strategy the loss on the short call options as the stock increased in price was offset by the gains on BuPS. With LNC the loss on the short call options offset much of the gain on the stock. The gap between the blue line (stock profit) and yellow line (net profit) is key. With LNC the gap continued to widen as the stock increased in price. We realized very little from the recent stock appreciation. In hindsight we could have written more aggressive strike prices on LNC (usually write ATM so we have a reasonable level of downside protection).

Take away for me…..after opening or when opening a covered call if you continue to feel bullish on the stock adding BuPS can offset losses on the short calls as the stock appreciates. Return in both examples is acceptable….but we left money on the table with LNC. CC versus just BuPS allowed us to capture the dividends. In these examples the dividend isn’t playing a significant role due to stock appreciation…..but this is the exception. Collecting the dividend can represent a key contribution in some situations.

Charts are showing impact from Jan 24, 21. Positions have been open for 332 and 302 days. We are getting close to the stock gains becoming long term capital gains.

SPY Ladder….More Learning….More Tuition Costs….after 74 Days

We continued with our SPY ladder. As IC’s approached 21 DTE we rolled them out or up and out. . Where possible we did a vertical roll on a few of the IC’s using the credit from the Put side to roll up the Call side (want to minimize any incremental investment so limited the ability to roll) . In most situations we could only roll up the calls a few dollars.

In the graph below you can see an improvement in the return when the SPY fell for a few days…..followed by a decline when the SPY started to rise again.

Little hesitant going into June based on the upcoming dividend. Rolling calls that remain “in the money” will create a risk of assignment and I want to understand the risk associated with assignment.

So far we are losing $1,429 over the 74 days.

Current open positions are in the table below

AMAZ Covered Call Strategy After 11 months and 100+ rolls

In May 20 we established a CC on AMAZ. Since that time we have rolled the short calls 100+ times. The goal has been to make the options “additive” to the profits. After 11 months the options are only contributing $2,543 to the position. When AMAZ price dropped the options helped offset some of the drop helping the account volatility; As AMAZ price bounced back the options gave up the gains. We have mostly sold and adjusted each week (and mid week) to “at the money” strikes. Position has generated good return but disappointed with the net from the options. I did get more aggressive with strike prices but not enough when the stock started to run. In one more month the gains on the stock will become long term provided I don’t get assigned in the next month.

I switched the tracking system 1/24/21 so the graph doesn’t show the early period. When the position was set up in May 20 everything was at $0.

NIO Covered Call “hanging in” despite price drop, VIAC CC not working so well

NIO CC Strategy established 9/16/20 has been able to hold onto most of the profits (black line) despite the erosion in stock profits (blue line). NIO call premiums have remained at a reasonable level due to the volatility. As the stock profits declined the option profits (orange line) has been offsetting. Overall the position is generating a profit of $23,184 a return on capital of 77% or 130% annualized. We would like to hold the shares until 9/16/21 so we pay long term capital gains on the stock.

Our VIAC CC strategy has not worked out very well so far. We bought the stock after the steep decline thinking it was a good entry point. Unfortunately the stock has continued to decline (blue line) and the profits from the short calls are not able to offset the stock decline. We will continue to hold the strategy and roll the calls as they expire as VIAC pays a good dividend and we feel confident the stock will eventually bounce back.

Update on ABT Covered Call….Earnings Announcement Today….Could be opportunity to add to position

Abbott is a good covered call candidate. In our IB account we purchased 100 shares on 4/1/21 and sold the May $120 Call option. We rolled the option to May $125 (if the stock drops today we might regret the roll up!).

Our unrealized return on capital for the position is 2.4% in 18 days or 49% annualized. We picked up the $.45 dividend on April 15.

Abbott missed revenue forecast for the quarter but exceeded EPS by $.05. If the stock experiences a dip we will likely add to our position as we like the long term prospects. We also own ABT in our Schwab accounts. It is a dividend aristocrat which is hard to find “on sale”.

Update on SPY Iron Condor Strategy – Losing $175 despite a lot of effort and trading……Schwab might be winning on commission……

Difficult week for the IC strategy. The continued rise of the SPY over the past 12 days has created challenges. We have had to roll up Puts and use some of the incremental premium to roll up the Calls (only investing incremental premium received or the maximum risk associated with the strategy will be increased).

We also rolled a couple of IC’s ‘up and out’ as the ‘days to expiration’ were approaching 21 days (Tastytrade.com mechanics on when to roll/close options). The IC’s we closed have generated a profit of $2,289. Unfortunately the open IC’s are generating a loss of $2,464. Overall the strategy is losing $175. For $175 it has been good entertainment…..except the purpose is to make money not just keep me busy.

We need a pullback in the SPY ….or at least for it to stop rising for the strategy to return to profitability.

Update on SPY “Ladder”…..Four IC’s Closed, Five Open….Profit of $2,255 after 47 Days

Our SPY experiment is hitting full stride. Our first four SPY’s are Closed and we have five open positions (green background in the table). The rise in the SPY last week created pressure on our positions. With SPY closing above $400 we have short calls at $400 and $403. We rolled up our Put spreads to increase our premiums and reduce maximum potential loss. All five of the open positions are currently losing money. We will look to close the positions as they hit 21 days before expiration (or hit 50% of maximum profit). If SPY continues to rise we will roll our Put spreads up until the short Put strike reaches the short Call strike. (Iron Condor becomes an Iron Fly at that point).

Assigned on NUE Covered Call, Profit of $240 in 6 Days, 1% Return on Capital or 44% Annualized

On March 24 we established a Covered Call on NUE. The objective of the trade was to capture a dividend of $.405 (ex-div on March 30). We purchased 500 shares of the stock @$69.17 and wrote 5 “in the money” Apr 1 $67 Call options for a premium. of $2.64 per share . The call option premium provided 3.8% protection against a potential decline in stock value before we could collect the dividend.

The graph shows what happened after the CC was established. NUE stock had a run up in price (blue line) and closed yesterday at $78.75. At the close we were generating profits of $4,790 on the stock and a loss of $3,331 (red line) on the options.

The owner of the calls elected to call the shares away last night so they could collect the $.405 dividend. We sold the shares at $67 resulting in a loss of $1,,085 on the stock. Our short options became $0 and generated a profit of $1,394 resulting in net position profit of $240. Graphs shows the impact of the assignment with stock losing, option gaining and a small net profit.

$240 is not a lot of money in an account of any size…..but with market dynamics and volatility so hard to predict it was a reasonably “safe” trade that generated an annal return of 44%. They key is stringing a series of these “dividend capture” trades together on a weekly basis. In this situation the return on our investment was higher with the shares getting called away but the after tax gain would likely be higher collecting the dividend (taxed at a lower % than the gain on stock/option). We have five similar trades in play this week. My concern with the strategy is having one of the stocks experience a big decline that would offset the benefit of many smaller gains. If the strategy works over time we can easily scale the size of the trades to generate higher $ returns. If the stock falls below the short strike price we have an option of continuing to sell calls against the stock or selling the stock.